As the results of the Republican primary in New Hampshire rolled in Tuesday night, two things became clear.
The first was that a plurality of voters — real Americans casting real ballots in a real primary contest — decided that they would rather have tinsel-haired Manhattan mogul Donald Trump as their nominee than any of seven other Republicans in the race. With 92 percent of precincts reporting, Trump was trouncing the rest of the field, with 35 percent of the vote; his closest rival, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, trailed by 19 percentage points.
Not long ago, this electoral outcome would have been considered about as likely as a victory by a 74-year-old Jewish socialist running on a platform of free college tuition.
The second thing that became clear Tuesday night is that a viable mainstream challenger to Trump and the insurgent Iowa caucus winner, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz — that long-awaited white knight who could “consolidate establishment support” and save the party from self-immolation next fall — has not emerged yet, and may not emerge for some time.
If he or she emerges at all.
As the Republican primary contest continues, New Hampshire may come to be known as the place where the establishment’s chances of nominating one of its own went to die.
Heading into New Hampshire, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio was supposed to be the establishment’s savior. He was young, polished and attractive. He was Latino. He was politically conservative but rhetorically moderate. And he had surprised everyone by nearly beating Trump in Iowa.
Then Rubio self-destructed in Saturday’s GOP debate, and New Hampshire’s notoriously late-deciding primary voters — two-thirds of whom told exit pollsters that the debate was an “important” factor in their decision — split their support among the various other establishment contenders.
The only problem? It’s hard to see how any of the other establishment Republicans get past Trump and Cruz at this point.