JERUSALEM (VINnews) — As Israelis drag themselves for the fourth time in two years to the polling booth, there is no assurance that this election will end the political impasse which has been plaguing the country recently. The volatile nature of a political system in which the prime minister is dependent on tiny parties to maintain his government ensures that forming a government will not be simple even for the largest party, especially after Netanyahu has been ostracized by so many other leaders.
However there are a number of factors which appear to indicate that this time there will be a clear winner and it will be Prime Minister Netanyahu. Firstly, Netanyahu has succeeded in signing crucial, lucrative agreements with prominent Arab countries while at the same time drying up the financial sources of terror groups in Israel and almost eliminating their activities. Just a year ago, explosive balloons were being shot regularly from the Gaza strip but recently, possibly in the wake of the pandemic and the difficult economic situation, Gaza has been very quiet.
The Palestinians, abandoned by many of their Arab brethren, have turned to the Hague for help but even they realize that their dream of an independent state will not materialize as long as Netanyahu and the Israeli right are a significant majority of the electorate. Despite having to relinquish his sovereignty ambitions, Netanyahu has continued to support development in Judea and Samaria, which now boast over half a million Jews besides another 300,000 Jews in East Jerusalem, now recognized by the Trump administration as the capital of Israel.
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More significantly, Netanyahu has achieved incredible success at just the right moment with his vaccination campaign. Originally the vaccine was supposed to be available in spring 2021 but Pfizer and British company Astrazeneca succeeded in expediting the procedure and producing an FDA-approved vaccine by December. Netanyahu bet that American company Pfizer could produce enough vaccines for the entire Israeli public and went on a blitz of phone calls to persuade Pfizer’s CEO, who is a Jewish child of Holocaust survivors, that the country could serve as a huge database of information about the efficacy of the vaccine. As a result, 60% of Israelis have already been vaccinated, including more than 90% of those over the age of 50.
Despite this, had elections taken place two months earlier, Netanyahu would have been in an awkward position. The third and most lethal wave of coronavirus was raging in Israel in January, killing more than a thousand people in less than a month and causing over a hundred thousand new infections. It was far from clear at that point that the vaccines would enable the public to return to normal and the lengthy lockdown caused an already battered economy to sink further into despair.
Yet Netanyahu seems to have a knack for choosing the right time for elections. Rightly predicting that by the end of March the country would be back on track, he has campaigned under the slogan “returning to smile” and with the steep drop in infections and sickness, the country has roared back to life in recent weeks. Netanyahu himself has beaten the track, even travelling to Arab and Bedouin villages in an attempt to exploit his newfound popularity among Arabs after the peace treaties, and he should be able to win Tuesday’s election emphatically enough to form a government with the right-wing parties still willing to sit with him.